New
@ThePeelPod with
@asenkut
Aydin started
@felicis 20 years ago with $4M of his own money after every LP told him "we don't back people like you." Today, Felicis is investing out of its $900M Fund 10.
We talked through the journey of building Felicis to $4B of AUM, why success is the most dangerous moment for an investor, how to keep your edge raising bigger funds, why a generalist approach is best for catching new technology waves, and the 10x rule he learned from Larry Page.
Full episode here + links below.
Timestamps:
0:00 Why success is the downfall of a good investor
2:04 Catching waves from YouTube to AI, chips, and defense
4:47 Is AI a bubble? How to tell what's real
6:17 Silicon Graphics: the company with no second act
7:33 Why AI infrastructure spend isn't hype
12:00 7 emails, no reply: how he met Tobi at Shopify
15:30 On adding value: "Just ask the founder"
17:30 The founder pledge: vote with the founders
18:26 Fund 1 was $4M of his own money
21:01 Find LP's preconditioned to believe in you
22:07 Venture is a people business
23:05 Raising Fund 2: the endowment’s "CIA interview"
26:48 Why outsiders bet on outsiders
28:23 Turner's rejected podcast audition
30:46 LP pushback on Fund 2 and Fund 3
32:56 Why he hired a CFO at Fund 3
35:04 Feedback founders can't argue with
37:21 Founders forget the clock is ticking
40:43 Backing founders through the first bad quarter
42:34 Does a 250x bigger fund lose its edge?
45:53 a16z, OpenRouter, Cursor, and big fund returns
47:30 Why deep tech needs huge rounds
50:57 Trillion dollar markets, billion dollar contracts
53:36 Why SpaceX and Anduril alumni will crush it
56:34 From a $50k first exit to "off by three orders of magnitude"
58:17 The software mindset in hard tech
59:38 Google's duct-taped servers
1:00:56 Scanning every book in the world
1:02:37 Larry Page's 10x rule
1:04:54 Outsider founders: Shopify and Adyen
1:07:17 Why Silicon Valley VC's miss companies outside the Bay Area
1:08:16 Generalist vs. specialist: 55 unicorns, no subject experts
1:12:17 Category winners sit between sectors
1:14:59 Don't obsess over entry price
1:17:24 Paid 700x revenue for Supabase, it grew 1000x
1:18:33 Notion, Canva, and the one-button product
1:20:27 The "OpenAI is about to collapse" crowd
1:21:41 Inspiration from Benjamin Franklin
1:23:47 Funding the twinkle in a founder's eye