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X Freeze
@XFreeze
参加 July 2024
2.1K フォロー中    277.6K ファン
At some point you have to stop calling Elon’s predictions crazy and admit that he keeps seeing where the world is going years before everyone else Go back through what he has been saying for the last 20 years... In 2006, Elon was already laying out a future built around electric cars and a solar-electric economy Today, one in four new cars sold globally is electric, and Tesla models are now topping overall sales charts in multiple countries, ahead of every gasoline car Then there is solar Elon has been saying for years that ultimately all energy will eventually come from the Sun “Almost all energy long term will be solar. It rounds up to 100%” Now solar has become the single biggest contributor to growth in global energy supply, and it accounted for roughly 75% of all new renewable capacity added last year In 2011, Elon was talking about reusable rockets as the holy grail of spaceflight The idea of launching an orbital-class rocket, landing it, and flying it again sounded insane to a lot of people Now Falcon 9 boosters land and fly again so routinely that people barely even react anymore Then AI Elon was warning about AI safety more than a decade ago, when most of the world was barely thinking about the problem People called him alarmist Now the people building the most powerful AI systems on Earth openly talk about alignment, loss of control, catastrophic risk and whether humans will even remain in charge Elon recently put it very simply: “It’s hard to imagine that the chimpanzees would be in charge” And the crazy part is that even the companies building these models admit that we still do not fully understand what is happening inside them Then Starlink In 2015, Elon was talking about putting thousands of satellites into orbit and creating a global internet network Industry analysts questioned whether the economics of something that massive could ever work.... sounded very insane Today, more than 12 MILLION people use Starlink around the world And then there is the prediction people should really be paying attention to right now... Electricity Years ago Elon was already warning the energy industry: “I can’t emphasize enough: we need more electricity. However much electricity you think you need, more than that is needed” Look at what is happening now AI companies can raise billions They can buy the GPUs They can build enormous data centers And then comes the physical-world problem... Where do you plug all of it in? Elon is now warning that the near-term bottleneck for AI is becoming electricity itself Power plants, Transformers, Substations, Transmission, Cooling, Grid connections The chips can be manufactured faster than the physical energy infrastructure needed to turn all of them on Data centers can be built, but without enough power available at the site, they are just enormous buildings full of hardware waiting to be plugged in Elon saw this bottleneck coming years before AI power demand became one of the biggest infrastructure conversations in the world And he was also pushing solar + batteries as one system long before today's scale existed Now battery storage is the fastest-growing power technology in the world Almost every timeline Elon has given something having a huge global impact had came true again and again, the direction everyone laughed at eventually became the direction the world started moving
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