Helping the world prepare for powerful AI. Risk assessment @METR_evals (opinions my own). Blogs: Planned Obsolescence (AI), Good Bones (whatever's on my mind).
The authors of the METR AI R&D report estimate that AI is nearly doubling the rate of capabilities progress. This implies dramatic *uplift*: as if researchers experienced time ~10x faster. You probably couldn’t achieve this even if you hired every qualified human in the world.