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Avocado Toast
@avotoast
markets, coins, stocks, and occasional derivatives
参加 November 2017
6.6K フォロー中    42.2K ファン
The bottom on the AI trade happened following the hysteria around Anth's "underwhelming" revenue but before the S-1 came out since then, have seen capital flow back into semis, and now memory with the blowout SKHY earnings last night however, ambiguous spot for risk with FOMC later today, midterms under way, and fairly imminent Anth IPO which likely siphons some capital out of more speculative end of AI segments; and may to a lesser extent cap flows near-term to semis, memory, mag7 as mutual/hedge funds, retail, indices rebalance exposure to accomodate a trillion+ company on the crypto side, most alts have retraced quite a bit last week or two; but tbh no real appetite for them here as capital seems to have shifted back to AI segments (semis, memory, neos, etc); and in general, think that the recent bout of crypto risk-on needs a period of retracement/settling; BTC isn't helping either as alts need it to show strength (or at least stability) which is not happening > $80k; any trades i take in crypto near-term will likely be event driven regarding onchain, idk tbh; seeing bullishness on the timeline simply because vlad mentioned RH's onchain business (very much in passing tbh) which led to a bit of relief in cashcat, pons, ai and a few onchain low caps; at the moment, i don't see why this should lead to a prolonged influx of capital back onchain; onchain data flows/volumes/txs don't suggest any type of capital rotation returning but will listen to the data if things change
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Case to be made that current crypto risk on is nearing the end