The Fed raised rates and signalled it may raise them again.
$BTC fell but recovered to $76,500.
A daily close above $77,100 by the weekend would show the market has absorbed the news.
Two closes below $75,000 would show the recovery has not held.
Three months ago, markets expected Fed cuts into year-end.
They now see a 93.5% chance of a hike tomorrow.
$BTC has held range lows as expectations shifted from cuts to a hike.
Tomorrow's projections show whether bitcoin is facing one hike or a longer tightening path.