remember, if you believe that only you can save humanity from extinction, and you are a consequentialist, you are morally willing to commit unspeakable evil in support of that goal. if your p_doom is 10% in a decade that means your current expected value of the status quo is negative 800 million lives. so it's completely rational – if you really believe this – to sacrifice single or double digit millions in pursuit of that goal. this means: if you think the frontier is insufficiently focused on safety, that it's acceptable to release a false flag bioweapon, agent swarm on grid infrastructure, etc. what are a couple million lives in exchange for billions? this is why EAs and hardcore consequentialists that are "safety pilled" are extremely dangerous.