GURGAVIN
@gurgavin
TECH FOCUSED INVESTOR & EVENT DRIVEN TRADER
参加 January 2010
705 フォロー中 468.4K ファン
YESTERDAY JUST SHOWED HOW ACCURATE PREDICTION MARKETS ACTUALLY ARE
THEY CALLED 479 OUT OF 487 RACES CORRECTLY ( THATS OVER 98%)
AND IN THE MAIN RACES THEY CALLED THE WINNERS ON AVERAGE OVER AN HOUR BEFORE THE NEWS
もっと見る
The favorite on Kalshi won 479 of 487 midterm races so far.
That’s 98%, forecasted before a single vote was counted.
The markets beat the polls and the models. The data 🧵
もっと見る
