NASA's own Moon schedule puts five Starship firsts in this quarter, and only one is done so far.
Still to come before the new year: the first V3 booster catch, the first ship catch, the first launch from Florida and the first reused V3 booster.
Next quarter comes the first propellant transfer between two ships. The first crewed landing is set for Artemis IV in early 2028.
The next ten weeks decide if that 2028 date holds.