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Justin Mateen
@justinmateen
Founder of JAM Fund | Co-founder of Tinder | Seed investor in: Curative, Deel, Kalshi, Slash, Speak, Whop… and many others
参加 January 2013
192 フォロー中    10.4K ファン
One of the biggest advantages of live markets on @Kalshi is being able to manage risk in real time. As new information changes the odds, you can add, reduce, hedge, or exit a position. During the Argentina match, I entered the total goals market while it was still 0-0, then added again at 1-0. Those entry points got much better odds than were available before kickoff. That’s what I find so fascinating about prediction markets. As information changes, the market reprices and so can your position. I also took a small position on exact score for Argentina to win 2-1 after they went down 1-0.
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I predicted the same outcome on Kalshi with 15 mins left when Argentina was down 2-0. Also went long Argentina to win the game in regulation at 4% odds and to win the World Cup at 1.4% odds (now 18%). Outliers are fun.
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