I thought Hyperliquid would capture a significant share of prediction market volume.
So far, I was wrong. Market activity on Hyperliquid largely disappeared after the World Cup.
But one project is starting to catch my attention:
@Outcomexyz.
It's currently generating around $3–4M in daily volume. Still tiny compared to the market leaders:
• ~0.3% of Kalshi's volume
• ~0.72% of Polymarket's volume
Its share has roughly tripled over the past three months. There's clearly a lot of room to grow.
Hyperliquid focuses on what it does best, while others experiment with new markets thanks to HIP-4. Let's see whether Outcome can turn this early traction into something meaningful.