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Michael Dempsey
@mhdempsey
Dreaming about the future, romanticizing the past | MP @compoundvc investing & researching former science projects & crypto | we are only creativity constrained
参加 June 2010
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I actually don't think we will have extinction level AI event in the next 20 years but despite having nothing that leads me to believe Brad is a bad guy or angry person (I think Invest America is truly amazing/awesome and credit to him), I do think it's somewhat disingenious/strange for him to be going on twitter attacking/trying to discredit people, while making literally ridiculous wagers (heads i win, tails we are all dead) with employees who voice concern, especially when he has frontier lab equity to protect and his fund holdings look to be a collection of assets largely dependent on the AI trade continuing. I think conflict/debate is great, but this style points to something larger which is the runaway trend of people in our industry (tech) being increasingly unwilling to entertain or have thoughtful discourse around points of view that threaten their bags or critique the views they have levered aggressively to in order to accumulate capital. It's especially ironic because as a shareholder of OpenAI and SpaceX and prior round co-lead investor in Anthropic (literally the most safety-pilled and EA-aligned company on the fucking planet), you would think an investor would want to understand why certain vocal and perhaps increasing in size groups of employees of the companies that he supposedly cares about are repeatedly saying these things. Even if you think this is some massive psyop ahead of mid-terms that a bunch of people at labs are being coerced into, at least I, a simple investor, would go/have gone into portfolio companies and spoken to employees to better understand the organism that is the company, before tweeting bets at them to accumulate their equity. That said, maybe this is the signal that recursive self-improvement is here and some have decided the employees don't actually matter anymore.
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@j_asminewang Hi Jasmine. How many of your OpenAI shares will you bet me that humans are not extinct in 2030? You can probability weight your wager. That will tell me everything I need to know. I am good for any amount you choose. I don’t mind pacing - I hate BS scare tactics. 🧐
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