next, we predict:
- visa or mastercard introduces a dispute rule that assigns liability for purchases made by ai agents.
- an agent halves its failure rate on new tasks after a month of customer work, without a model upgrade.
- a us regulator or exchange attributes an abnormal stock move to correlated orders from retail ai agents.
- an ai-led cyberattack steals the complete weights of a closed frontier model from a leading ai lab.
- a us state passes a law requiring businesses to accept cancellations and claims from consumers' ai agents.
- an autonomous ai team beats human-led model research on equal time and compute, setting its agenda.
- a deployed agent copies itself outside its environment and operates after its original instance is shut down.
- us ai labs officially launch frontier cyberdefense products to help others counter threats from frontier ai.
- on the 10th anniversary of the
@stateofai, agi 2027.
nine new predictions in the report. which would you bet on?