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Outlier Capital
@outliercapx
The Founder. Asymmetric stocks. Generational wealth. Portfolio target: 5x+ returns in 5 years. Join 4K+ readers → Full portfolio + Theses, link.
参加 April 2026
142 フォロー中    8.1K ファン
$SKHY just printed one of the most insane quarters in memory history: • Revenue $78.9B (+328% YoY).
• Operating profit $62.8B (+632% YoY).
• 80% operating margin (record).
• HBM4 already overtaking HBM3E in Q4.
• 5-year LTAs with major CSPs locking >50% of 2027-28 capacity. Memory demand is set to outpace supply through 2030. 
This isn’t a memory cycle. 
This is a STRUCTURAL physical bottleneck of the AI supercycle.
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SK HYNIX $SKHY Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS 🔹 Revenue: $78.9B (Est. $74.8B) 🟢; +328% YoY 🔹 Oper Profit: $62.8B (Est. $58.5B) 🟢; +632% YoY 🔹 Oper Margin: 80%; +3,300 bps YoY; record high 🔹 QoQ: Revenue +32% / Oper Profit +38% Q4 Guide: 🔹 DRAM Bit Growth: Mid-20% QoQ 🔹 NAND Bit Growth: Mid-single% QoQ incl. Solidigm Q3 Pricing & Volume: 🔹 DRAM ASP: High-20% QoQ; bits ~+10% QoQ 🔹 NAND ASP: Mid-20% QoQ; bits slightly lower QoQ Profitability: 🔹 Gross Margin: 85.7% (Est. 85.2%) 🟢 🔹 EBITDA: $66.1B; 84% margin; +486% YoY 🔹 EPS: $41.07; +205% YoY Financials: 🔹 Cash: $86.3B; +311% YoY 🔹 Interest-Bearing Debt: $11.9B; -34% YoY 🔹 Net Debt-to-Equity: -32%; -2,800 bps YoY 🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $41.3B; +281% YoY 🔹 Total Assets: $295.5B 2027 Market Outlook: 🔹 DRAM Demand Bit Growth: +mid-20% YoY 🔹 NAND Demand Bit Growth: +high-teens% YoY 🔹 2027 CapEx: To rise significantly vs 2026 🔸 Memory demand expected to outpace supply through 2030 Product & Technology: 🔹 HBM4: Expected to surpass HBM3E in HBM shipment and revenue share in Q4 🔹 2027 HBM: Negotiations finalized; profitability gap with conventional DRAM expected to narrow meaningfully 🔹 M15X: Ramp-up accelerating to full capacity by end-2026 🔹 321L NAND: Over 50% of domestic capacity in Q4 Business Highlights: 🔹 LTAs: Signed with 14 key customers incl. major global CSPs; standard 5-year term; over 50% of 2027-2028 capacity secured 🔹 Q3 Dividend: ~₩20,000/share (~$15.08), incl. a ₩10,000 special dividend from realized Kioxia gains 🔹 Share Acquisition: ₩20T (~$15.1B) for the quarter, incl. ~₩10T for executive & employee compensation 🔸 Quarterly revenue topped ₩100T for the first time Note: 🔹 Net Profit: $30.0B; +216% YoY 🔸 Includes a $24.6B non-operating loss: a $17.3B investment-asset loss and an $8.8B FX loss as the won strengthened FX used for USD conversion: $1 = ₩1,326 (mid-market; Oct 27, 2026)
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