Tech Monthly Wrap Up
• Market : From “Sizzling” ➜ “Unwind” ➜ “Consolidation.”
• After SOX and tech names corrected, valuations have reset with likely stabilized volatility, shifting the market from “unwind” to “consolidation.”
• QTD, market is rotating out of 2Q outperformers (ie memory, MLCCs, PCB upstream).
• Near-term events: TSMC & ASML earnings likely mild positive ones. Investors focus more on CSPs on AI/capex.
• We continue to expect AI spending to accelerate. Top-5 CSP capex could reach ~$1.2T by 2027 (+43% YoY). Top-5 Neoclouds could double YoY in 2027
• Open-source models are gaining traction, but Third-party data still points to strong ARR by Anthropic suggesting sustained spending shares.
• For price hike theme, we prefer CPU, ABF substrates, mature-node foundries, OSAT, and wafers, as market could focus on “rate”.
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