Semtech (SMTC US) Key Takeaway
• Rating: Maintain Buy, Target Price $162 (22x FY28E EPS)
• F2Q revenue $341.9mn (+33% YoY, +17% QoQ), beat consensus. Non‑GAAP EPS $0.71 (vs consensus $0.61)
• Non‑GAAP gross margin record at 54.5% (+150bps QoQ), driven by data‑center
• F3Q guidance tops market estimates: revenue $410mn; non‑GAAP gross margin 58.3%; EPS $1.02‑1.08
• AI‑related demand ~3x current supply capacity;growth bottleneck: SiGe / InP wafer & OSAT packaging constraints
• 1.6T CopperEdge ACC entered mass shipment to major hyperscalers in F2Q (moved from sampling to material revenue)
• 1.6T FiberEdge TIA‑driver initial shipments started; target >50% share in target 1.6T market by end‑FY27E
• Post HieFo InP laser acquisition: advancing vertical integration of TIA, driver & laser chips for supply resilience
• Deepened MSA standardization work for LPO / NPO; secured multiple design wins, expanding long‑term TAM
• Pulled explicit segment YoY growth guidance due to supply uncertainty, but multi‑year hyperscaler AI demand outlook remains solid
• Forecast FY27E / FY28E / FY29E EPS: $3.60 / $7.40 / $11
#
SMTC# #
Semtech# #
1#.6T #
Optical# #
AIInfrastructure#