0xJeff(@0xJeff):Prediction markets about go to through an EVOLUTION > PMs continue to achieve ATH after ATH in vol > Arb & bonding opps continue to get more crowded > Near-certainty 5-10% ROI only exist in long-dated markets now > The launch of DeFi on PMs like Gondor and Forecast is gonna make this attractive++ e.g. Bet NO at $0.91 on Putin out by Dec 31, 2026 market => ~21.2% APR 1) with 2x leverage on Gondor, that's ~37.5% APR [assuming 5% interest] 2) with unlimited leverage on Forecast, the APR could be higher depending on slippage, pool depth, utilization, and funding rate Real prediction market leverage is indeed coming

2026.07.14 06:18

Prediction markets about go to through an EVOLUTION > PMs continue to achieve ATH after ATH in vol > Arb & bonding opps continue to get more crowded > Near-certainty 5-10% ROI only exist in long-dated markets now > The launch of DeFi on PMs like Gondor and Forecast is gonna make this attractive++ e.g. Bet NO at $0.91 on Putin out by Dec 31, 2026 market => ~21.2% APR 1) with 2x leverage on Gondor, that's ~37.5% APR [assuming 5% interest] 2) with unlimited leverage on Forecast, the APR could be higher depending on slippage, pool depth, utilization, and funding rate Real prediction market leverage is indeed coming

0xJeff@0xJeff

2026.05.01 13:00

> PMs hit ATH after ATH > Builder eco expanded (trading/analytics) > Builders earn up to 1% fee from vol > BMoar owns almost half of the builders vol > Industry moving from trading/analytics to lending/borrowing/leverage Liquidity is growing, market coverage is expanding, PM builders are eating