马赫Michael
@1912212eth
AI工具｜机器人 | 美股 | A股科创板 | Crypto 。充满好奇的小学生。
가입 July 2024
215 팔로잉 중 308 팬
很有意思的一个数据研究，传统观点认为预测市场价格滞后于主流 CEX 现货，但数据显示，Kalshi 15 分钟 BTC 合约的隐含概率变动，正越来越早于币安等平台的短周期价格异动发生
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1/ Synth's HFT team has found that @Kalshi’s 15-min BTC market is beginning to predict subsequent BTC moves on @binance and all other CEXs.
And strength of this predictive relationship has grown materially throughout 2026 (see image).
@Kalshi is becoming the venue for BTC price discovery on short time horizons.
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