Many are pissed that Warsh didn’t hike, citing the credibility issue as the long end rises — but Warsh just kept in telling us he is happy that the long end has risen during the intermeeting period.
The move in the long end is basically equivalent to a 25 bp hike. Warsh is probably happy about this —rather than see this as a bad thing.
This will be restraining the economy with the squeeze on the housing market and financial conditions being immediate.