Atlantis liquidity(@Atlantislq):Another NATO x Russia military clash dispute just forced Polymarket to clarify the rules again Romanian F-16s shot down 2 Russian drones over their waters. It started a dispute over whether it counted as a military clash But I already said back in July this market requires a direct military x military confrontation. And that didn't happen this time Polymarket has now clarified the same thing: intercepting attacks aimed at third parties doesn't qualify That's why you trade the rules, not the headline. An event can look huge and still not qualify

2026.10.24 20:42

Another NATO x Russia military clash dispute just forced Polymarket to clarify the rules again Romanian F-16s shot down 2 Russian drones over their waters. It started a dispute over whether it counted as a military clash But I already said back in July this market requires a direct military x military confrontation. And that didn't happen this time Polymarket has now clarified the same thing: intercepting attacks aimed at third parties doesn't qualify That's why you trade the rules, not the headline. An event can look huge and still not qualify

Atlantis liquidity@Atlantislq

2026.07.26 16:01

I think the NATO x Russia military clash market is significantly overpriced Traders have pumped NATO x Russia military clash by Dec 31 odds up to 28%. It happened after reports that NATO had downed a Russian drone in Romanian airspace I completely disagree with ppl who buy YES because the incident doesn't meet the rules criteria Rules strictly exclude the interception of single-use strike drones aimed at a 3rd party and require a direct military x military confrontation. Not just the downing of stray munitions in airspace Some YES holder refer to a recent case when China x Philippine military clash market was resolved YES with weak evidence. But this case is diff because the rules are much tighter I see this as a great NO entry rn. You don’t even need to hold until Dec 31. Emotions will fade and odds will dump fast