๐บ๐ธ WHAT TO WATCH TODAY โ U.S. MARKETS
8:15 AM ET โ ๐ช๐บ ECB Rate Decision
8:30 AM ET โ ๐บ๐ธ PPI + Jobless Claims
8:45 AM ET โ ๐ช๐บ Lagarde Press Conference
10:00 AM ET โ ๐ Existing Home Sales
10:30 AM ET โ ๐ฅ EIA Natural Gas Storage
12:00 PM ET โ ๐ข๏ธ EIA Oil Inventories
1:00 PM ET โ ๐บ๐ธ 30-Year Treasury Auction
4:30 PM ET โ ๐ฆ Fed Balance Sheet
After Close โ ๐ป Oracle + Adobe Earnings
โธป
๐ฅ PPI โ KEY EVENT
August producer inflation takes center stage ahead of Fridayโs CPI and next weekโs Fed decision.
A hot print could push Treasury yields and the dollar higher, while weighing on equities.
๐ช๐บ ECB + LAGARDE
The ECB is expected to raise rates by 25 bps.
The bigger focus will be Lagardeโs guidance on inflation and whether further hikes are coming, especially with oil above $100.
๐บ๐ธ JOBLESS CLAIMS
Claims are expected around 205K vs. 206K previously.
A major surprise could shift the Fed outlook, although PPI will likely dominate the initial market reaction.
๐ EXISTING HOME SALES
August sales are expected around 3.98M vs. 4.06M previously.
Watch for signs that elevated mortgage rates are putting further pressure on housing demand.
๐ข๏ธ OIL INVENTORIES
Crude inventories will be closely watched with Brent above $100 amid escalating Middle East tensions.
Oil remains a major input into the marketโs inflation outlook.
๐บ๐ธ 30-YEAR TREASURY AUCTION
A major test for demand at the long end after the recent global bond selloff.
The Treasury is set to sell $22 billion of 30-year bonds. Weak demand could put renewed upward pressure on yields.
๐ป ORACLE + ADOBE
Both report after the close.
Oracle will be closely watched for AI infrastructure and cloud demand, while Adobe provides another read on AI monetization and enterprise software spending.
๐ฏ MAIN FOCUS: PPI โ ECB/LAGARDE โ 30Y AUCTION โ OIL โ ORCL/ADBE