Chief Market Strategist @WellingtonAltus. PhD Econ. Astute, observations and conclusions. Personal views. Not investment advice. Please do your own research.
Narrative follows price. Expect Wall St narrative on the AI bottleneck trade to change.
New narrative: peak earnings are in.
You were warned.
TSMC delivered record Q1 2026 results: revenue up ~40%, profit up ~58%, margins above 50%, driven by AI/HPC demand.
Yet the stock reaction was Muted.
Reflecting stretched valuation and geopolitical risk, and a growing consensus that earnings growth is near its peak, so no one should be surprised the market didn’t reward the beat.