Jamie Metzl(@JamieMetzl):I keep hearing tech bros say there’s a 10% chance AI will wipe out humanity by 2030. I spend much of my life thinking about the future and I’m quite certain that’s not going to happen. I’m willing to put my money where my mouth is. I’ll give anyone 100-to-1 odds. If humanity is extinct by midnight on December 31, 2030, I’ll pay you $100 million at 1 a.m. on January 1, 2031. If we’re still here, you only need to pay me a mere $1 million at that time. Accept by replying to this post.

2026.09.27 18:30

I keep hearing tech bros say there’s a 10% chance AI will wipe out humanity by 2030. I spend much of my life thinking about the future and I’m quite certain that’s not going to happen. I’m willing to put my money where my mouth is. I’ll give anyone 100-to-1 odds. If humanity is extinct by midnight on December 31, 2030, I’ll pay you $100 million at 1 a.m. on January 1, 2031. If we’re still here, you only need to pay me a mere $1 million at that time. Accept by replying to this post.

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