MTS(@MTSlive):Forethought's @TomDavidsonX on the overlooked RSI scenario where AI never "fooms" but progress still accelerates 2–3x: "When people say RSI, they're lazily assuming that it is gonna foom. Which is totally plausible." "I distinguish the foom and the fizzle scenario. In the fizzle scenario you have that recursive loop, but because the ideas are getting so much harder to find, the RSI isn't too scary. To be honest, I still think it's pretty scary in that scenario. We're talking about 2X, 3X the pace of progress." "Actually RSI is just scary, fizzle or foom." "A lot of people at the frontier labs are really thinking it's the foom, so they're like, 'RSI, foom, it's all the same thing, and it's coming next year.'" @forethought

2026.10.06 22:42

Forethought's @TomDavidsonX on the overlooked RSI scenario where AI never "fooms" but progress still accelerates 2–3x: "When people say RSI, they're lazily assuming that it is gonna foom. Which is totally plausible." "I distinguish the foom and the fizzle scenario. In the fizzle scenario you have that recursive loop, but because the ideas are getting so much harder to find, the RSI isn't too scary. To be honest, I still think it's pretty scary in that scenario. We're talking about 2X, 3X the pace of progress." "Actually RSI is just scary, fizzle or foom." "A lot of people at the frontier labs are really thinking it's the foom, so they're like, 'RSI, foom, it's all the same thing, and it's coming next year.'" @forethought_org