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MacroScope
@MacroScope17
Topics: institutional trading, asset management and monetary policy. Tweets are opinions only and are not intended as advice.
가입 August 2017
354 팔로잉 중    90.7K
Adding to the post below. It should go without saying that for institutional investors, the now-vanished prospect of imminent rate cuts under Warsh is playing a big role in BTC’s selloff (see gold too). Any expectations of an extended hiking campaign are obviously unrealistic, but since expectations impact price, they will be important to watch. In the long run, we all know where monetary policy is going. Watch what the macro guys say and do on BTC in coming weeks and months. Paul Tudor Jones’ remarks in April about BTC as the best inflation hedge should be required viewing for anyone in this space (see my post on April 28). Note that Tudor has been hugely prescient on BTC; the firm was an IBIT seller in the second half of 2025, according to filings, but Tudor's most recent 13F showed it kept its existing position and didn’t sell any during the first three months of this year. The next round of 13Fs will be interesting and important, especially for known sovereign buyers like Mubadala.
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Just in case anyone didn’t understand that this BTC selloff is mostly a capital rotation story and not BTC-specific. Very easy to click “sell IBIT” in the brokerage account to free up funds for this. In the long term, BTC will continue to greatly benefit from creation of an ETF. It also becomes more susceptible to short-term capital rotations by mainstream investors. This rotation should slow (may have already started in the past day) then eventually reverse.
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