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Melvin
@MelvinInvests
AI Analyst @MilkRoadAI | Finding opportunities across AI, photonics, defense, space, and tech.
가입 June 2026
239 팔로잉 중    33.6K 팬
OpenAI is starting to get NERVOUS about Anthropic's upcoming IPO. OpenAI is reportedly looking to raise another $30B at a staggering $1.4T valuation, and I don't think the timing is a coincidence. Anthropic has reportedly been targeting a valuation as high as $2T, and if it manages to go public anywhere near those levels, we're talking about one of the largest IPOs in history. That could attract an ENORMOUS amount of institutional capital, especially from investors looking for direct exposure to the AI model race. There is only so much liquidity available in the market at any given time. If Anthropic gets to the public markets first and starts absorbing tens of billions of dollars in investor capital, OpenAI could find itself competing for that same pool of money, potentially at a much less favorable valuation. And here's another huge risk. If Anthropic's IPO ends up flopping, whether that's weak investor demand, disappointing pricing or the stock collapsing after going public, it could have serious implications for OpenAI as well. Investors could start questioning the valuations being assigned to these AI companies, making it significantly harder for OpenAI to justify a $1.4T valuation or raise capital on favorable terms. This is why I think OpenAI has EVERY incentive to secure as much capital as possible before Anthropic makes its move. Not only does it strengthen OpenAI's balance sheet but it also gives the company more financial flexibility to continue investing in compute, infrastructure, talent, and model development while securing a massive valuation benchmark ahead of a potential IPO. And remember, these companies are competing for more than just customers. They're competing for GPUs, data centers, electricity, engineering talent, and increasingly, investor capital. I wouldn't be surprised if we see both companies become much more aggressive with fundraising over the coming months. This is turning into an absolute capital arms race, and whoever can secure the most funding on the best terms could have a major advantage as the AI industry continues scaling.
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