AI Could Take Over in 2029. Is It Already Too Late? My conversation with @RyanGreenblatt of @redwood_ai about AI 2040, RSI, AI alignment, and how he believes the transition to superintelligence actually unfolds. 01:24 The AI CEOs are aware of the risks, but "proceeding anyway" 03:27 Astra paused, and the "Pacing the Frontier" letter 05:45 "Not bad. Dangerous." What superintelligence actually threatens 09:55 Recursive self-improvement, and the intuition objection 14:16 SSI rumors: does continual learning change the picture? 17:27 His timeline: "plan as though it happens in 2029" 19:11 Is it already too late? 21:23 Ryan's path: COVID, podcasts, Redwood 26:30 The alignment faking story, told by the person who ran it 31:30 What AI 2040: Plan A actually is 33:35 Plans D, C, and B: the doors nobody should pick 36:51 The deal with China: "mutually assured compute destruction" 39:55 What if compute stops mattering? 43:00 What happens to OpenAI and Anthropic under Plan A 45:31 How the pause ends, and who decides 48:54 "Plan A isn't likely to happen": then why write it 50:40 200x GDP growth in the 2030s, explained 53:45 Grading the summer: the letter, Astra, the secret review 59:01 The internal deployment gap 1:01:38 Zuckerberg's manifesto 1:04:56 The Hugging Face investigation 1:05:44 What AI control looks like in practice today 1:12:23 Ryan's sobering timeline: from today to takeover, year by year