this trader hit 370/1 wl and maded $8,931 in 2 weeks.
> $1,247 today
> $4,318 past week
> 99.7% wr.
everyone trades BTC 5-min. he found a quieter edge.
china weather markets. guangzhou. beijing. wuhan. that's it.
his stack:
> CMA api (china meteorological administration)
> ECMWF for cross-check
> claude reads both, compares to polymarket price
> enters NO at 90-96c on outcomes already 99% confirmed
> Kelly criterion sizes the bet
> waits for resolution
f* = (p − m) / (1 − m)
best trades:
- guangzhou 22°C+ no, 94c -> $1.00 ($3,200 -> $3,403)
- beijing 8°C+ no, 96c -> $1.00 ($4,150 -> $4,323)
- wuhan 15°C+ no, 91c -> $1.00 ($1,890 -> $2,077)
each trade pays 4-10%. he runs 25-30 a day. compounds daily.
curve hasn't dipped once since april. straight line up.
his profile:
here's the asymmetry copy traders miss:
- 4 trades at 96c copied separately = +4% x 4 = +16%
- same 4 stacked into one parlay = +100-300% in one position
stop copying his trades one by one. stack them.
do it via
most consistent weather wallet on polymarket.
nobody's watching him yet.
don't wait until the spread closes.