Bitcoin closed green, but it's still below TBO support at $76,388.88 and approaching the rising cloud bottom. A bullish RSI reset and bullish divergence support my dip-buy thesis, even while on-balance volume shows sellers in control. I'm watching $81,000 and potentially $87,000 as rebound scenarios, not confirmed targets. Ethereum remains strongly bearish below its cloud, but its rising slow line makes this look like a countertrend drawdown within a macro bullish trend.
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Combined stablecoin dominance has touched its weekly fast line after a close-long signal; I'm looking for a retreat toward 8.95% support. Small-cap dominance is improving, but BTC dominance's four-hour breakout means altcoin rotation isn't confirmed. DXY's return inside the cloud and falling VIX and MOVE support my recovery outlook. S&P futures still need to reclaim the daily cloud: its tightening TBO squeeze warns of an explosive move, not a guaranteed direction. Gold is outperforming Bitcoin for now, while the gold/BTC weekly fast-line test could offer a rotation opportunity.
AVAX and ARB are showing recovery signals, PEPE remains strong bullish, and PIEVERSE is extended after its surge. XMR's return into the cloud illustrates why I use TBO Pro to distinguish strength from an overstretched trend. IONQ's bounce is a reminder to take partial profits at the fast and slow lines rather than round-trip a recovery. INTC and MRVL have bullish RSI resets, but a V-shaped recovery isn't assured. QUBIC has lost TBO support, PONS remains strongly bearish, and AAVE still needs to reclaim its fast line. Buying an oversold chart doesn't remove the need for confirmation, profit targets and risk management.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 Bitcoin Support and Bullish RSI Divergence
02:08 Ethereum's Countertrend Drawdown
03:22 BTC Dominance and Altcoin Rotation
04:27 Stablecoin Dominance and Altcoin Market Caps
09:18 DXY Pullback and EUR/USD Recovery
11:23 S&P Futures: TBO Squeeze and Recovery Levels
15:55 VIX and MOVE: Volatility Exhaustion
20:03 IWM, NVDA, TSLA and SPCX Bounces
23:30 Oil, Gold, Silver, Platinum and Copper
26:43 Gold Versus Bitcoin Rotation Signals
28:00 Free Resources, Trading Journal and Kalshi
32:15 AVAX, PEPE, ARB and PIEVERSE
35:19 USELESS, BEAM and XMR Trend Strength
37:15 PI, CC, HBAR, STABLE and FLOKI
39:31 RKLB, IONQ and MU: Plan Your Profits
42:52 AIOZ, FET, LTC, NIGHT and ONDO
44:21 QUBIC, STRK, VIRTUAL, ZEC and ZIG
45:51 AMZN, BN, CIBR and DRUP
47:58 E3B, EOAN, INTC and ENRG
50:18 GSK, LSX, MRVL, PAVE and S0LR
51:57 UMDV and Visa: Trend Exhaustion Risk
52:57 COHR, CRDO and VRT Bounce Setups
55:12 PONS, PEARL, ORCA and AAVE
57:01 GATO and Meme-Coin Risk
58:04 Using the Better Traders Journal
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