๐ง๐ฒ๐บ๐ฝ๐๐ $TEM ๐๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ถ๐๐ ๐ผ๐๐ป ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฃ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐ $PSNL ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐น๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐ผ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ณ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ด.
Morgan Stanley hosted Eric Lefkofsky at its healthcare conference on September 15 and published the takeaways that evening.
Tempus was content running as Personalis' exclusive distributor and might not have bought the company until early 2027. MolDX kept adding Medicare coverage for NeXT Personal, four indications by May, and a competing bidder appeared, so the timeline moved up.
The S-4 carries a Personalis forecast and a Tempus forecast for the same business, and they do not match. Management told Morgan Stanley the gap comes mostly from how many indications each side assumes get covered and what each test gets paid, and that the Tempus set is the lower one.
Personalis has closed above the $16.25 offer on and off since the vaccine readout in August. Lefkofsky's position, as the note relays it, is that the competing bid already played out and that Tempus and Merck between them hold about a quarter of the vote and want the deal closed. From the note: "Management also noted that PSNL trading above the deal price does not make sense in the context of competitive bids having already played out."
Personalis holds a termination right of its own if Tempus stock sits under the lower floor when the exchange ratio is set, and the S-4 says Tempus has closed below that line on several days since signing.