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PallasCatFin
@PallasCatFin
用期权构筑终生复利 | Substack&微信公众号「帕拉斯期权」| Discord社群「老猫美股圈」
가입 August 2023
226 팔로잉 중    6.4K 팬
很多人以为,1971年尼克松关闭金窗、重估黄金价格之后,美国靠黄金“一夜还清债务”。 历史恰恰相反。 1973年黄金重估带来的账面收益约12亿美元,而当时美国国债已经超过4500亿美元。 不到债务的0.3%。 债务不仅没有消失,反而继续增长。 黄金重估,从来不是化债工具。 真正的化债工具,始终只有三个: 经济增长(做大GDP) 通胀贬值(降低债务实际价值) 金融压制(让利率低于通胀) 历史上,美国从未靠黄金解决债务问题。 美国解决债务的方法,一直是: 让美元变得更不值钱。 所以黄金最大的价值,从来不是帮政府还债。 而是帮助持有人,在政府化债的时候,不被一起稀释。
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President Nixon’s administration did not wipe out (or even meaningfully reduce) the U.S. national debt using proceeds from the 1971–1973 U.S. Treasury Gold revaluations. The “Proceeds” and Impact on Debt ⭕️ The 1973 revaluation increased the book value of U.S. gold reserves (then around 260+ million ounces) by roughly $1.2 billion. This created a paper profit that was monetized via gold certificates issued to the Federal Reserve, slightly boosting Treasury cash holdings. ⭕️ Compare this to the national debt: • ~$398 billion in 1971. • ~$458 billion in 1973. ⭕️ The $1.2 billion gain was tiny—less than 0.3% of the debt—and the debt continued to rise in subsequent years due to ongoing deficits, not decline to zero or near-zero. 🎯The Nixon Gold revaluations were not a debt-erasing windfall.
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