💲 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗮𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝘀𝘂𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗰𝘁𝘀 𝗮 𝟯𝟰% 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗯𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝗮𝗻𝗻𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘇𝗲𝗱 𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘂𝗲 𝗿𝘂𝗻 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗢𝗽𝗲𝗻𝗔𝗜 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗔𝗻𝘁𝗵𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗰 𝗲𝘅𝗰𝗲𝗲𝗱𝘀 $𝟰𝟬𝟬 𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗯𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝗼𝗳 𝟮𝟬𝟯𝟬 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗮𝗻 𝟭𝟴% 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗶𝘁'𝘀 𝗹𝗲𝘀𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝗻 $𝟭𝟬𝟬 𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 At the time of forecasting (July 2026), Anthropic and OpenAI had a reported combined annualized revenue run rate of $72 billion. Superforecasters gave the following predictions for OpenAI and Anthropic's annualized combined revenue run rate going forward: 2026: $90 billion 2030: $300 billion 2040: $770 billion Since the survey closed, the reported combined annualized revenue run rate has surpassed $105 billion. In the chart below, you can see the probability that the average superforecaster gave to OpenAI and Anthropic's combined revenue exceeding $400 billion or falling below $100 billion by the end of 2030.