Clarity Act update; Not passing as per this week (Thursday 23 Jul)
Based on publically available Intel.
Republicans: 51 yes, 2 no
Democrats: 2 yes, 45 no
Required : 60 Votes
Republicans (Likely Yes unless noted):
John Thune (R-SD) - Yes
Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) - Yes
Kevin Cramer (R-ND) - Yes
Bernie Moreno (R-OH) - Yes
Tim Scott (R-SC) - Yes
All other Republicans (48 total) - Yes
Republican Likely No:
Josh Hawley (R-MO) - Likely No
Rand Paul (R-KY) - Likely No
Democrats (Public Yes - Conditional):
Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) - Yes (conditional)
Angela Alsobrooks (D-MD) - Yes (conditional, recent criticism)
Democrats (Public No / Opposition):
Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) - No
Cory Booker (D-NJ) - No
John Hickenlooper (D-CO) - No
Mark Warner (D-VA) - No
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) - No
Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) - No
Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) - No
Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) - No
Chris Murphy (D-CT) - No
Jeff Merkley (D-OR) - No
Jack Reed (D-RI) - No
All other Democrats (~35 total) - No / Leaning No
Tally Summary: 53 Yes, 47 No (short of 60)