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The Iran Watcher
@TheIranWatcher
Iran & Persian Gulf | Politics, Geopolitics, Military & Proxies 🇮🇷
가입 November 2009
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🚨 American military advisers and IRGC officers are now facing off through opposing sides of the escalating war in Yemen. CNN reports that more than 100 U.S. military advisers are operating in Saudi Arabia, with one U.S. official putting the number at roughly 200. At the same time, U.S. officials assess that hundreds of IRGC officers are inside Yemen working alongside the Houthis. This is not yet a direct United States-IRGC ground battle, but the two sides are increasingly embedded in opposing military efforts. American advisers are working inside a newly established Saudi joint forces command, providing intelligence sharing, geospatial targeting and real-time battlefield tracking technology reportedly comparable to the Pentagon’s Maven system. But there is a hard limit to that support. Axios reports that President Trump has ruled out the United States directly joining Saudi Arabia’s war against the Houthis. American forces are not flying strike missions, participating in Saudi strikes or refueling Saudi aircraft. So while American advisers are helping Saudi forces understand and track the battlefield, Saudi Arabia is still expected to fight the war itself. On the other side, the reported IRGC presence is far more extensive. U.S. officials believe hundreds of IRGC officers are assisting the Houthis, with one official assessing that they are ultimately working toward the ability to close Bab al-Mandab. That warning comes as the Houthis have seized Mocha, roughly 75 km north of the strait, and pushed government-aligned forces south toward Dhubab while expanding operations around the nearby islands. The geography explains why this confrontation matters far beyond Yemen. The Islamic Republic is already disrupting the Strait of Hormuz. Saudi Arabia has consequently become increasingly dependent on the Red Sea as an alternative route for its oil exports. Now the Houthis are advancing toward the other end of that route. Hormuz in the east. Bab al-Mandab in the west. The Islamic Republic does not need to physically close both waterways. Sustained missile, drone and anti-ship threats can disrupt shipping, increase insurance costs, force rerouting and put enormous pressure on global energy markets. Saudi Arabia therefore finds itself in an increasingly difficult position. It is absorbing Houthi ballistic missile and drone attacks while its Yemeni partners lose strategic territory, hundreds of IRGC officers are reportedly operating across the border, and American advisers are helping Saudi forces with intelligence and targeting. But the United States has drawn the line at joining the actual fight. What began as another chapter of the Yemen war is increasingly becoming another arena in the wider confrontation between the United States and the Islamic Republic, with American and IRGC personnel supporting opposing sides of the battlefield. For now, they are not directly fighting one another. But the distance between those two sides is getting increasingly smaller.
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