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The AI Investor
@The_AI_Investor
Deep research on AI investing, join Patreon, Substack for more! DISCLAIMER:
가입 September 2020
909 팔로잉 중    80.9K 팬
One of the most time-consuming tasks for me is calculating my portfolio performance across many different accounts, with all kinds of option premiums, cash, margin, etc. There may be an error here or there, but the numbers are quite close. I do it because, first, it’s fun. Second, I think it’s easier said than done. You can talk and post a lot, but what you’ve actually accomplished matters. Say you’re bullish on a stock but don’t own it, or it makes up only 1% of your portfolio. If the stock triples, that 1% position adds only 2% to your portfolio. But if you go all in, that’s a 200% gain. The opposite can happen as well. It can be a life-changing decision, which is why it’s much harder to do than to say. I started sharing my research on Patreon, and later Substack, mostly to document my investing journey. I priced it at $5 at first, then $20 when I added trade updates. I was doing it for fun and didn’t really know what it would become. My thinking was simple: if the research helped a $1 million portfolio beat the market by just 1%, that would be $10,000 in extra returns, far more than the subscription fee. The results have been far beyond what I imagined. Even excluding margin and option premiums, my stock picks and position sizing have delivered 5.68 times QQQ’s return since I launched the Patreon research. That’s why I keep sharing the work. The research is interesting, but putting it to the test with my own portfolio, and showing the results, is what makes it meaningful to me. Thank you all for joining me along the way. It’s been a fun ride so far, and I’m excited to see where we go next.
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My portfolio just hit a new ATH, +127.7% YTD intraday today, so I thought I’d review current semi valuations and share some updates on what I’m holding. My performance since the end of 2022 is only an estimate, but it honestly looks ridiculously high at around +4,345%. A big part of that came from using margin during 2023 and 2024. For practical purposes, I think it makes more sense to share performance without margin and focus purely on the results from my stock picks. Pure stock picking and position sizing would be a fairer comparison with QQQ. Since launching my Patreon research, the performance has been +405% vs. +71.3% for QQQ, or roughly 5.68 times the return. Below are my current portfolio allocations, recent trades, and an important update on my cash position. After that, I’ll share my review of semi stock valuations and the impact of tech trends such as META MUSE adoption.
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