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XBIT
@XBITDEX
Trade anything, fully on-chain.
가입 February 2025
49 팔로잉 중    40.9K 팬
🚀 XBIT Prediction Market | Combos Are Now Live One prediction does not have to mean just one outcome. Now, you can combine multiple event predictions into one Combo Position. XBIT Prediction Market has officially launched its new Combos feature. Combos are currently available across selected sports and esports prediction markets. Users can choose two or more Outcomes from Combo-enabled markets and combine multiple independent views into a single prediction position. In simple terms: Previously, you might predict these separately: ⚽ Arsenal Win ⚽ Barcelona Win 🎮 Team Spirit Win Now, with Combos, you can combine them into one Position: Arsenal Win + Barcelona Win + Team Spirit Win For the Combo to win, every Leg must satisfy its corresponding settlement condition. That leads to the core idea behind Combos: Multiple Outcomes. One Position. Higher Potential Payout. 🔥 Why Can Combos Increase Potential Returns? Combos are not traditional leverage. They do not increase your exposure by borrowing additional capital. What they change is this: You are trading the joint probability of multiple outcomes happening together. Take the UCL as an example. Suppose you select three match Outcomes: Arsenal Win | 70% Barcelona Win | 65% Inter Win | 60% For simplicity, assume the events are independent and ignore correlation, actual execution pricing, liquidity, and other market factors. The theoretical probability of all three outcomes occurring is approximately: 70% × 65% × 60% = 27.3% Individually, none of these Outcomes looks especially low probability. But a Combo requires: All Legs to be correct. As multiple Outcomes are combined, the probability of the full Combo succeeding will generally be lower than the probability of any individual Leg. If the Combo were priced near $0.273, and each winning Position settles at $1, then the theoretical Gross Payout Multiple would be: $1 ÷ $0.273 ≈ 3.66x In other words, three relatively high-probability predictions can produce a much higher potential payout once they are combined into a single Position where all conditions must be correct. That is the core return logic behind Combos: It is not about borrowing capital to increase position size. It is about combining multiple predictions to increase the potential payout if the full thesis is correct. But higher potential return also means higher combined risk. Because: If even one Leg fails to meet its settlement condition, the entire Combo may lose. Higher Potential Payout = Higher Combined Risk. ⚽ How Do Combos Work in a UCL Scenario? Imagine you have a full view on one round of UCL matches: Leg 1 Arsenal Win + Leg 2 Barcelona Win + Leg 3 Inter Win Previously, you would need to open three separate Positions. Now, you can combine them into: ARS Win × BAR Win × INT Win You are no longer trading only: Will Arsenal win? You are now trading: I believe all three of these match outcomes will happen together. That is the clearest difference between a Single Prediction and a Combo Prediction. 🎮 Esports Can Also Be Combined Combos are not limited to traditional sports. XBIT currently also supports selected esports prediction markets for Combo construction. For example: 🎮 Team A Win + 🎮 Team B Win + 🎮 Team C Win These can be combined into one esports Combo Position. If you have a view on multiple matches, several teams, or an entire tournament stage, you no longer need to split those ideas into separate positions. You can combine them into a single: Multi-Event Prediction Position This is one of the biggest advantages of Combos over single-outcome markets. Instead of expressing only: “Who wins this one match?” You can express: How you believe a group of results will happen together. 🧩 Single Prediction vs Combos Single Prediction Trade one Outcome: Arsenal Win ↓ One Outcome One View One Position Combos Combine multiple Outcomes: Arsenal Win + Barcelona Win + Inter Win Or: Team A Win + Team B Win + Team C Win ↓ Multiple Outcomes One Combined View One Combo Position Higher Potential Payout ⚡ Core Advantages of Combos ① Higher Potential Payout When multiple Outcomes are combined, the probability that all of them occur together is generally lower than the probability of any single Outcome, which can create a higher potential payout if the Combo wins. ② Multiple Predictions, One Position No need to manage multiple separate predictions. Several event views can be combined into one complete Position. ③ Express a Complete Event View If you are not just confident in one match, but have a broader view across an entire matchday, round, or set of esports games, Combos allow you to express that thesis directly. ④ More Flexible Strategy Construction Users can select different Outcomes across supported events and choose how many Legs to include. From a 2-Leg Combo, to more complex Multi-Leg Combos, the strategy space becomes much broader. ⑤ More Dynamic Risk / Reward As more Legs are added, the probability of every Outcome being correct at the same time generally decreases. That means: Potential Payout ↑ At the same time: Combined Risk ↑ Combos are not simply about increasing returns. They redefine: How much combined risk you are willing to take in exchange for a higher potential payout. 🔄 How Is a Combo Executed? The core Combo flow can be understood as: Select → Combine → Quote → Confirm → Execute 1️⃣ Select Outcomes Choose two or more Outcomes from supported sports or esports markets. For example: Arsenal Win Barcelona Win Inter Win 2️⃣ Build Combo The system combines those Outcomes into one complete Combo Position. 3️⃣ Request Quote The user requests an executable price for the entire Combo. Under an RFQ — Request for Quote — model, the system seeks pricing for the full combination. There is an important distinction here: The market is not only pricing each Leg independently. It is pricing the Combo as a whole. 4️⃣ Quote The Combo price is formed based on factors such as: • Current market prices • Liquidity • Combo structure • Correlation between Legs • Overall risk For correlated Legs, the actual Combo price should not be understood as simply multiplying individual probabilities together. The executable price ultimately depends on the live market quote. 5️⃣ Confirm The user reviews: • Combo Price • Potential Payout • Included Legs Then decides whether to accept the quote. 6️⃣ Execute Once confirmed, the Combo is executed and managed as one complete Position. 7️⃣ Settlement The Combo settles after all corresponding Legs have been resolved. If every Leg satisfies its settlement condition: Combo Wins If any Leg fails to satisfy its condition: the entire Combo may fail to receive the winning payout. 🧠 What Do Combos Actually Change? Traditional prediction markets mainly answer: “Will this one outcome happen?” Combos go one step further: “Will this entire set of outcomes happen together?” From: Predict One Outcome to: Trade a Complete Scenario For sports users, that could mean expressing a full view across an entire UCL round. For esports users, it could mean combining multiple matches, multiple teams, or multiple tournament outcomes into one position. Combos turn a group of separate predictions into one complete: Multi-Leg Market View 🚀 XBIT COMBOS ARE NOW LIVE Combos are currently available across selected sports and esports prediction markets. From a single match outcome, to a combined view across multiple sports or esports Outcomes. From: One Match. One View. to: Multiple Outcomes. One Position. More Possibilities. Select your outcomes. Build your Combo. Get your quote. Trade your view. Combos are more than just a new trading feature. They move Prediction Markets from: Predicting one outcome to: Trading an entire thesis. ⚠️ Combos increase both potential payout and combined risk. All Legs must satisfy their respective settlement conditions for the Combo to receive the winning payout. Supported sports markets, esports markets, available Outcomes, Combo pricing, and potential payouts are subject to the live information displayed on XBIT Prediction Market.
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