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YashasEdu
@YashasEdu
v2 | Writing uncomfortable truths about money, systems and what we pretend we believe
๊ฐ€์ž… February 2024
682 ํŒ”๋กœ์ž‰ ์ค‘    9.4K ํŒฌ
The mechanics underneath @pendle_fi have quietly stacked in $PENDLE holders' favour. At the moment the setup is really strong: โžฅ Trading cheaper than the average DeFi yield protocol on a price-to-fees basis (11.6x vs 12.25x sector median) โžฅ 22% of total supply staked as sPENDLE โžฅ Major token unlocks already behind us โžฅ 80% of all V2 fees route to PENDLE buybacks under sPENDLE The bid is structural and the catalysts that could compound it are real๐Ÿ‘‡ 1. STRC tokenization is already working. โ€ฃ Saturn's sUSDat pool drove a 44% PENDLE rally in 11D as users got onchain exposure to Strategy's 11.5% dividend โ€ฃ apxUSD grew from $13M to $461M onchain mcap in 77D. apyUSD doing the same Strategy's actual STRC ATM authorization is ~$21B with ~$21B in remaining capacity. The $1.16B raise on April 13 was one day's issuance. If they keep printing, this becomes Ethena-scale flow without the funding rate dependency 2. Regulated stablecoin rails shipped in March. USDG (Paxos / Global Dollar) pools went live and crossed $120M. mEVUSD strategy targets EU institutions at 7-12% returns. Compliant institutional yield is no longer a roadmap item 3. The yield gap is the actual moat. CEX flexible earn for large balances are around ~1.5-4%. The spread runs from +2.6pp to +17.3pp. That's a 3-12x improvement on idle stablecoin yield, sitting right next to the largest pool of idle yield-seeking capital in crypto 4. @boros_fi is the 2nd revenue engine. ~$17.2B in cumulative volume since launch. $150M OI today and ~$600k in cumulative fees across 4 revenue streams and still climbing. Fee:OI ratio is at 0.461% annually. The total perp market is ~$132B, if it has 2% capture = $2.6B Boros OI = $12M annual fees, more than doubling Pendle's current 30D run-rate 5. ~$70B sits idle in CEX stablecoin balances earning ~1.5%. GENIUS Act effective Jan 2027 forces exchanges to either kill their earn products or route to a compliant DeFi backend. Pendle's semi-custodial Highway is purpose-built for exactly this. At 5% capture, sPENDLE buyback yield hits 9% annualized. Binance Labs is already an investor. No deal signed yet. Q4 2026 earliest realistic timeline Tokenomics are fixed. Float is locked. Distribution surface expanding. Now Pendle is becoming the discount mechanism for the $100T+ global fixed income market moving onchain. This one is forming one of the cleanest DeFi setups going into the H2 of 2026. h/t to @EntropyAdvisors @DefiLlama for the data
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