Cherish 2026.
This is the year earnings acceleration peaks.
S&P 500 = EPS × P/E.
P/E is compressing as hyperscaler FCF getting crushed by record CAPEX.
The only thing still propping up stocks is accelerating EPS growth — and that acceleration is already expected to slow in 2027.
This entire move has been a straight wealth transfer from a handful of hyperscalers to their suppliers. AI revenue simply won’t ramp fast enough to close the gap.
Goldman Sachs - Hyperscaler earnings multiples have declined alongside surging FCF multiples; in addition, investors are increasingly focused on the trajectory of AI spending by the rest of corporate America and the degree to which that spending is generating a return.