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Alpha | 阿尔法
@alpha101xyz
AI Stocks | Semis | Macro Hedge Fund Analyst & Data Scientist Turning FOMO into rules: momentum, crowding, risk
가입 April 2022
536 팔로잉 중    15.9K
Cherish 2026. This is the year earnings acceleration peaks. S&P 500 = EPS × P/E. P/E is compressing as hyperscaler FCF getting crushed by record CAPEX. The only thing still propping up stocks is accelerating EPS growth — and that acceleration is already expected to slow in 2027. This entire move has been a straight wealth transfer from a handful of hyperscalers to their suppliers. AI revenue simply won’t ramp fast enough to close the gap.
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Goldman Sachs - Hyperscaler earnings multiples have declined alongside surging FCF multiples; in addition, investors are increasingly focused on the trajectory of AI spending by the rest of corporate America and the degree to which that spending is generating a return.
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