How do you square this with the Chinese constantly dropping bangers all the time?
my model of flapping airplanes, and ~all "sky-high-target" neolabs besides thinky and ssi, is that they are some combination of extremely successful self deception and con artistry. there are many multi-bil valuation companies out there that have like some hope of doing some successful enterprise sales and consulting, but near zero chance of achieving their stated mission or goals. they seem to exist mostly as a wrapper for very ambitious people to feel like they're able to have more autonomy than they would at a frontier lab and for investors to feel like they maybe didn't completely and utterly fuck up by not getting early allocation to anthropic.
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