Daniel Freeman(@bucketofkets):The world is filled with computers, and many of those computers are pretty poorly secured. Models are also becoming _really_ capable cyber agents. Combined this with the observation that frontier model performance tends to be recapitulated in significantly smaller models—models that can fit on consumer GPU hardware—within about 18 months, and you arrive at a pretty clear prediction: small, capable models will exist, they’ll be able to gobble up vulnerable compute if they want to, and they’ll be able to do this within a few months if trends continue.

2026.10.12 21:38

The world is filled with computers, and many of those computers are pretty poorly secured. Models are also becoming _really_ capable cyber agents. Combined this with the observation that frontier model performance tends to be recapitulated in significantly smaller models—models that can fit on consumer GPU hardware—within about 18 months, and you arrive at a pretty clear prediction: small, capable models will exist, they’ll be able to gobble up vulnerable compute if they want to, and they’ll be able to do this within a few months if trends continue.