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Daniel Koss
@daniel_koss
AI infrastructure investor & trader. 2026 YTD: +407%. #1# public investor on Autopilot last 3M. My exact portfolio and real-time trade alerts ⬇️
가입 March 2013
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So open-source clearly IS taking market share. Great for the entire AI infra stack and all AI users, bad for OpenAI and Anthropic on a surface level.
More data than open-source AI is taking share from OpenAI and Anthropic. Open source has gone from 28% token share to 62% token share @vercel over the last 2 months. Chart from @rauchg Super impressive given that the sum of OpenAI and Anthropic accelerated in July. So net token/AI infra demand accelerated even more than the acceleration we saw at the frontier. And suspect Grok growing even faster than open-source and we saw some of this in the @tryramp data. Open-source AI taking share is positive for AI infrastructure demand as it lowers margins at the model layer and an open-source token costs just as much compute to produce as a frontier token. Nothing about open-source AI inference is “free.” Most likely end state IMO is that closed, frontier tokens are 60-90% of economic value but only 15 to 25% of tokens.
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