GURGAVIN
@gurgavin
TECH FOCUSED INVESTOR & EVENT DRIVEN TRADER
가입 January 2010
705 팔로잉 중 468.4K 팬
YESTERDAY JUST SHOWED HOW ACCURATE PREDICTION MARKETS ACTUALLY ARE
THEY CALLED 479 OUT OF 487 RACES CORRECTLY ( THATS OVER 98%)
AND IN THE MAIN RACES THEY CALLED THE WINNERS ON AVERAGE OVER AN HOUR BEFORE THE NEWS
더 보기
The favorite on Kalshi won 479 of 487 midterm races so far.
That’s 98%, forecasted before a single vote was counted.
The markets beat the polls and the models. The data 🧵
더 보기
