๐ The Daily Semi-Cap โ 2026-10-08
๐ SMH: $607.27 (-2.84% vs prior trading close)
โข OpenAI told investors its end-September annualized revenue was approaching $50B, rather than the roughly $70B figure inferred in earlier investor comparisons. The difference largely reflects whether sales through cloud partners are counted. AI-linked stocks sold off as investors revisited the gap between massive infrastructure commitments and the revenue directly captured by model developers.
โข Samsung Electronics' preliminary Q3 guidance puts sales near KRW195T and operating profit near KRW107.4T, versus KRW86.06T and KRW12.17T a year earlier. That is an extraordinary memory-cycle acceleration, though these are company estimates, not final segment results. The scale raises the stakes for its forthcoming breakdown of HBM and conventional memory economics.
โข GlobalFoundries signed a five-year, $2B manufacturing agreement to supply silicon interposers for TSMC's CoWoS advanced packaging from Malta, New York. The first U.S. source is expected to ramp volume production in the first half of 2028. Packaging capacity and supply-chain geography are becoming part of the AI accelerator bottleneck equation.
โข TSMC's September sales disclosure put third-quarter revenue at roughly NT$1.49T, a record and above market expectations. The monthly print captures continued demand for leading-edge AI wafers, but it is not the full earnings report: margins, profit and the next capacity outlook still await the company's quarterly results. Foundry throughput remains the hard-demand counterpoint to softer AI monetization sentiment.
โข INNIO extended its engine-supply partnership with Aggreko through 2031, including at least 450 MW of Jenbacher Type 4 capacity in 2027 and J620 engines starting in 2028. Its modular power systems serve data centers as well as other critical loads. This is a concrete capacity commitment for the behind-the-meter power market facing grid connection delays.
โข ASML and optics partner Zeiss outlined a possible Hyper NA successor to today's High NA EUV systems in roughly a decade. Their paper describes features as small as 5 nanometers while reusing the current light source, but ASML has not committed to building the machine. The long runway underscores how much advanced-chip scaling still depends on lithography optics.