If I wanted to maximize AI risk, I would pursue the following policy: 1. Immediately pause⏸️ the algorithmic progress coming from the labs, while continuing to allow compute from the hardware companies to exponentially pile up. 2. Focus really hard on safety, so as to avoid spooking the public with the sort of industrial accidents that even the current level of algorithms+compute can produce. This policy will minimize the number of AI accidents that occur in the next five years, causing the public+govt to not freak out about AI, all while a massive amount of hardware accumulates on the planet. That way, once algorithmic progress gets eventually restarted, there’ll be enough compute built up for a huge unexpected FOOM that no one can control. On the other hand, if I wanted to minimize AI risk, I would do approximately the opposite of this.