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Outlier Capital
@outliercapx
The Founder. Asymmetric stocks. Generational wealth. Portfolio target: 5x+ returns in 5 years. Join 4K+ readers → Full portfolio + Theses, link.
가입 April 2026
107 팔로잉 중    5.7K 팬
Bullish — Bernstein on $IREN: 5.8 GW long-term power. ~2 GW cloud by ’28. ~$17B rev / ~$13B EBITDA by 2030. The entire upside comes from repeating Sweetwater across Oklahoma, Australia and Europe. Pricing on 3-yr contracts already +125%. CapEx is ~$65B before the ramp — financed, not wished. Market is still pricing the campus, not the whole platform. Bullish! PS: I am long $IREN. NFA.
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Bernstein models $IREN scaling to ~5.8 GW longer term with cloud revenue reaching ~$17B and adjusted EBITDA ~$13B by 2030. Interesting that they assume Childress stays flat at 750 MW so almost all of that upside comes from proving Sweetwater design can be repeated across Oklahoma, Australia and Europe. Thats where the opportunity gets really large if IREN can execute with three-year contract pricing already up 125% even as the note also models ~$65B of incremental CapEx before the full revenue ramp.
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