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Primitive Ventures
@primitivecrypto
A frontier prop investment firm funding a better future for both IQ 50 & IQ 150. Not a VC, but we write VC checks. Tweets by interns. DMs open
가입 April 2019
6 팔로잉 중    13.4K
Primitive Weekly POV snapshot: This week, our team dives deep into why localization wins in prediction markets, why we invest in @tenbinlabs and why the "Equity Perp" window is the next big global access play. Here is the breakdown from the PV team👇 1/ 🌍 Prediction Markets: Localization is the Moat @DoveyWan challenges the "one size fits all" view of prediction markets.Most platforms miss a key point: Category Mix: >West (Kalshi/Poly): Dominated by Sports & Politics (~80%+). It's a "Reality Show" economy for whales. >East (Opinion): Politics is constrained, but culture and speculation thrive. Just as RedNote is distinct from Instagram, prediction markets will split into regional "recipes." Localization isn't just a feature but the path to compounding repeat volume through cultural curation. 2/ 👏The RWA Liquidity Trap: Enter Tenbin. Stablecoin payments are onboarding the next wave of capital, but existing RWAs are stuck in a "liquidity tax" death spiral. @0xtony0x introduces Tenbin—our latest bet to fix this. Tenbin is the first tokenization platform designed to bring CME-grade depth directly on-chain with: >0% mint/redemption fees. >RFQ-first integration for instant price discovery. >A modular stack for Commodities and FX. We’re moving the world’s most liquid markets at the speed of DeFi. 3/ 📈 The Rise of On-chain Equity Perps @YettaSing drops a massive deep dive on why Equity Perps are the ultimate "Export of Access." The US doesn’t just export dollars; it exports access. Stablecoins did this for T-bills; Equity Perps are doing it for stocks. The Thesis: >By turning equities into plug-and-play collateral, we are moving toward a global tokenized margin network. >The Reality: 24/7 trading and 1:1 capital efficiency are flipping the script on CEXs. >The Risk: The window is closing. As US regulators (SEC/CFTC) begin studying perps, the "offshore" speed advantage will eventually meet onshore rails. The time to scale is now. 4/👀 Macro Check: High-Level Fragility. Is the "Hard Landing" closer than we think? @adaYen72 points out a dangerous divergence in the LMEX (London Metal Exchange Index). >2022: Prices were high on "free money" and fear (Real yields at -0.5%). >2026: Prices are at the same highs, but money is expensive (Real yields at +2%). This is a physical squeeze in a high-rate environment. Corporates running massive capex on 2% real rates have zero margin for error. If cash flow misses, debt service explodes. With sticky supply-driven inflation, there is no "Fed Put" to save us. We are seeing max complacency before a potential hard landing. That’s the snapshot for this week. Stay tuned. Stay primitive. 🛡️
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