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Ryan Wang ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ
@ryanwang
โ€œThe most likely outcome is an age of Amazing Abundance, where anyone can have anything they can think of.โ€ by Elon Musk This is also the future I want.
๊ฐ€์ž… May 2018
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In the semiconductor industry, LTA has never meant absolute certainty. Wafers have signed LTAs, passive components have signed LTAs, and memory has also signed LTAs. History has shown that when prices fall, both sides are more likely to terminate the agreement than for the buyer to continue bearing the LTA.
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Yes. I have heard the same from two other experts, including one I talked to back in August. He believes the customers of memory can simply hoard inventory during the duration of the LTA if they are really forced into it, but could result in a massive revenue slump post expiration of the contract. It would instead be better off to mutually rip away the contract in a downcycle. His views, not mine. But interesting to see it get mirrored by someone else.
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