Marvell (MRVL) F2Q Results
• Stock -7.8% AH on high expectations; Investors await Investor Day in Oct.
• F2Q largely inline: $2.74bn rev (+13% QoQ / +37% YoY)
• Non-GAAP EPS $0.94 (slight beat)
• F3Q guide solid: $3.15bn (+15% QoQ / +50% YoY)
• Raised FY27E rev to ~$12bn, FY28E to ~$18bn
• Custom AI ASIC: management guiding >100% growth in FY28
• We see path to $16bn+ by FY29 (vs their ~$10bn)
• Google multi-year deal covers accelerators, NICs, CXL, near-memory
• Another big hyperscaler XPU project progressing well
• Connectivity is the real engine behind the $18bn target
• 800G still strong, 1.6T DSPs ramping
• 51.2T switches expected to double this year
• AI clusters need ~10× more bandwidth → big tailwind for 1.6T coherent
• Celestial AI deal boosts optical / CPO / NPO capabilities (a big advantage to compete AWS T4)
– Buy | TP $290 on 20x FY29E
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