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Jeff Pu
@sssjeffpu
Tech Enthusiast. 20 years tech equity research + industry.
가입 April 2025
76 팔로잉 중    40.3K 팬
Summary of AMD (AMD US) – Earnings Preview
 • Expect inline 3Q results but near-term guidance of ~$17.6b vs. Bloomberg $16.5b, buy side $18b
• bullish on 2027 datacenter: well over 100% YoY growth driven by agentic AI
• EPS revised -5% / +15% for 2026E/2027E on sales of $103b in 2027
• New TP $720 based on 40x 2027E EPS (implies 28x 2028E) Earnings preview 
• 3Q26 rev: $13.3bn (includes ~1 month of MI450)
• 4Q26 rev: $17.6bn (above Bloomberg, below aggressive buy-side) 
• Helios rack shipments started, but volume ramp mostly 1Q27
• Server CPU revenue: +100% YoY in 2027, +50% in 2028
• Higher 2nm wafer allocation + strong Venice yields (CoWoS 97-99% from ASE)
• Venice shipments >5mn units in 2027 → higher blended ASE)
• MI450/455X On schedule, but limited volume by end-2026 (weight/switching constraints)
• Meaningful ramp of racks in 1Q27 → >20k racks expected in 2027
• Multi-GW agreements supporting the ramp #AMD# #AI# #ServerCPU# #MI450# #Helios# #EarningsPreview#
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