가입 후 초대 링크를 공유하면 동영상 재생 및 초대 보상을 받을 수 있습니다.

tom cunningham
@testingham
Economics & AI @ @METR_Evals (ex-openai)
가입 March 2009
3.2K 팔로잉 중    10.9K 팬
More curves are bending. In mid-August Nate Rush & I posted an analysis of which discovery curves are starting to bend. What's happened since then? Cyber vulnerabilities: curve is still bent. Discovery of vulnerabilities is accelerating even further, though exploited vulnerabilities remain fairly flat. Math: curve is further bent. We said there was a likely acceleration for small-scale problems. Since then there has been a claimed Millennium prize resolution, & credible rumors of another. All frequently-updated databases of open problems seem to be proceeding at a rapid rate. Algorithms: curve is now bending. Two high profile algorithmic competitions have had big curve-bending events: NanoGPT, and the Hutter compression prize. Other frequently-updated series remain relatively unchanged: CIFAR-10, Stockfish, matrix-multiplication exponent. More observations below.
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