good(@thenarrator):prediction markets just became programmable public’s new agents can watch event odds and use them to trigger a stock or bond trade fed cut odds cross 70% → buy duration recession odds jump → reduce bank exposure the new primitive is simple: event probability → portfolio action this is how prediction markets become financial infrastructure

good

@thenarrator

prediction markets, perps and brain dumping / research @schemacap, building @rallypadfun

가입 September 2016

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good@thenarrator

2026.09.25 19:20

prediction markets just became programmable public’s new agents can watch event odds and use them to trigger a stock or bond trade fed cut odds cross 70% → buy duration recession odds jump → reduce bank exposure the new primitive is simple: event probability → portfolio action this is how prediction markets become financial infrastructure